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Agenda
Day 1
Day 2
Day 3
Bentek Qualifying Customers Only!
Use your discount code for
free registration to either Day 2 or Day 3
– your choice!
Day 3: Analytics Forum with Breakout Sessions
Wednesday, May 15, 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
Exports are becoming a reality and the return of market volatility is upon us. Day 3 will take a close look at the outlook for propane, coal and LNG exports, including global demand and price forecasts. The second half of Bentek’s “North American BTU Tipping Point” will be featured and will be followed up with additional insight from key industry participants. The afternoon will feature two concurrent breakout tracks with sessions on the gas, crude, NGL and LNG markets, allowing attendees to customize their day and focus on the commodities and regions that have the greatest impact on them.
7:00 Registration and Buffet Breakfast
8:30 Introduction to Day 3
8:45 Bentek Analytical Feature: The North American BTU Tipping Point, Part 2
Anthony Scott
Manager, Oil Analysis and Consulting Services
Bentek Energy
Global demand and prospects for absorbing North American supply
Propane export market outlook and NGL price forecast
Coal export market outlook and price impact
LNG export market outlook and price forecast
9:30 REX: Shale to Shining Shale
Bill Moler
Chairman
Rockies Express Pipeline LLC
10:00 Volatility and the New Fundamentals of Supply and Demand
Tony Chovanec
Vice President, Fundamentals and Supply Appraisal
Enterprise Products
10:30 Break
11:00-4:00 Breakout Sessions (see below)
12:00 Lunch
5:00 Reception at close of event
Breakout Sessions:
Tracks 1 and 2 will be repeated on Days 2 and 3. Mix and match sessions from either track!
Track 1
Track 2
11:00
North American Natural Gas Demand
Speaker: Tony Sweet, Bentek Senior Energy Analyst
11:00
Global LNG
Speaker: Javier Diaz, Bentek Energy Analyst II
Long- and short-term drivers of the great switch
Structural shifts: Gas market share in the power sector
Are coal and fuel oil done for? Opportunities to capture peaking demand
Gas-electric coordination, constraints and other risks
Industrial demand wildcard
Coal vs. LNG: Competing for exports?
Global LNG supply: Liquefaction, capacities, new builds and North American exports
Global LNG demand: Market shifts to the Pacific, South America and does Europe need LNG?
Global LNG balance: Will the global market be undersupplied?
Pricing outlook: Oil linkage vs. Henry Hub pricing, the spot market evolution and forecasts and the potential impact of nuclear re-starts in Japan on global demand and prices
Shipping: Will existing ship orders be adequate for upcoming liquefaction capacity growth?
1:30
North American Natural Gas Market Outlook
Speaker: Jack Weixel, Bentek Director, Client Services
1:30
North American NGLs Part 1 – Supply
Speaker: Charles Nevle, Bentek Manager, Energy Analysis
What is the expected global balance for LNG?
How will exports affect the U.S. gas price?
The shifting import/export relationship; U.S. takes less from Canada, sends more to Mexico
The demand groundswell: industry and power burn will cut into supplies
Equilibrium production: what is the national break-even price of natural gas?
Regional balances: Northeast becomes a supply zone, Southeast/West go net short, Mexican demand more than triples
Price supporting and capping forces
U.S. gas plant NGL production increases through 2023
Growing NGL production from the Marcellus and Utica will transform market dynamics and flow patterns in the Northeast
Williston Basin: The wild card
Growing production in the Rockies and Midcontinent will flow south to demand centers and export terminals
An infrastructure boom in the Eagle Ford will support NGL production
Ethane rejection outlook
NGL barrel composition shifting as new infrastructure comes online
2:15
Natural Gas Regional: Northeast/Midwest/Midcon
Speaker: Jennifer Robinson, Bentek Manager, Energy Analysis
2:15
North American NGLs Part 2 - Demand
Speaker: Charles Nevle, Bentek Manager, Energy Analysis
Marcellus & Utica floodgates
The LNG backstop and potential for price spikes
Power demand constraints and opportunities
Infrastructure and expansions overview
Northeast downstream demand prospects (Marcellus outflows to E. Canada, Midcon and the Southeast)
Competing wet gas supply (Anadarko, Bakken expansions)
REX turnaround?
Ethane long – but for how long?
Exports to serve as a balancing mechanism for growing supplies for propane, butane and natural gasoline
Growing demand from the U.S. petrochemical sector
Mt. Belvieu purity product forecast through 2023
3:15
Natural Gas Regional: Southeast and Texas, including LNG
Speaker: Rick Notarianni, Bentek Energy Analyst
3:15
North American Crude Oil - The Bakken and Canada
Speaker: Jay Williams, Bentek Energy Analyst
Eagle Ford production shakes up Texas flows
Texas flow corridors: West vs. East vs. Mexico
Cotton Valley prospects
Premium Southeast constraints and expansions
LNG exports vs. power demand
Timing the Haynesville comeback
Canadian vs. U.S. production growth
Pipeline and refinery constraints
Crude-by-rail: Impact on Bakken
Bakken prospects vs. Alaska North Slope
Bakken drilling trends
Displacing light crude from the East Coast
Bakken price forecast
4:00
Natural Gas Regional: Northwest, Southwest, California and Canada
Speaker: Rocco Canonica, Bentek Director, Energy Analysis
4:00
North American Crude Oil – Cushing and the South
Speaker: Chris Micsak, Bentek Energy Analyst
California dreamin’ – the new premium market
Mexico’s insatiable appetite
Shale gas: A white whale for the West?
Emerging pipeline capacity constraints and opportunities
SoCal: The new Algonquin?
Storage value with a twist
Ethane rejection and West production
U.S. South supply growth
Cushing vs. Brent price spread expectations
Louisiana light sweet vs. Brent forecast
Cushing and U.S. Gulf Coast connectivity
Challenging imports
Cushing/Gulf Coast price forecasts